I predict that Fermina will fall in love with Dr. Urbino for something he does. Something like saving her or saving a friend or something heroic. I think this because Fermina seems like one of those people who likes a "strong man". I got this from (Will need to find this out) when Dr. Urbino is peeing on the toilet. Also Fermina likes how he has arguments with her, meaning he is strong and won't bend to her will. Without reading the first chapter, this would be known.
I see Florentino going depressed and having affairs with a bunch of other people. Why? Because the book has already told us half of this. The only reason I'm saying this is because I think it is because he is depressed from being dumped by Fermina that he is going to have affairs. Florentino might even become a stalker-like person.
It doesn't actually seem as if Fermina loves Dr. Urbino. She loves his arguments, their morning routine, but not him. I think when she realized she didn't love Florentino, his letters made a person so great, she only wanted this fictional person nobody could compare. So maybe its Fermina's father that forces her into a marriage, because she might not be able to marry any other way.
I also think Fermina tests Dr. Urbino. To see how strong he is (Ex: Soap). She does this because she wants him to live up to her standards even though she knows he doesn't, so she hopes he will prove her wrong. Also, Fermina is very strong willed, which ties into this point.
It is foreshadowed that a lot of what Florentino does doesn't go right. When he falls in love with Fermina for the first time, his mother and Fermina's aunt both put huge walls in between them. Then Fermina's father and her school get in the way. Finally her father takes her to a far land. In truth, Fermina and Florentino never actually get to sit down and have a conversation. Their relationship is based on words, not personality.
I can relate to when someone argues something and it's obviously a lie but they argue it anyway. This has happened to me many times. I've actually been on both sides of the argument. It is very easy to go blind to the truth and actually believe what you are saying is the truth. Only solid evidence can point you back in the right direction.
This is all speculation, by the way.
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I strongly agree with many of your speculations. It is seemingly evident that Florentio is depressed and uses other affairs to give him self an illusion of love while is waiting for Fermina's husband to die. I was suspired that he didn't not think going after the doctor or having him killed was a reasonable plan of action. So in a way he is a strong man and takes his feelings hides them lives his life and waits.
I really like a lot of the things you talked about because those are things that I was thinking about too.
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